Guinea’s Supreme Court to Announce Legislative Election Results Either Later This Evening or Sometime Overnight- Security Forces on High Alert

copsmassarrestA primary function of Guinean security forces is to conduct mass arrests of opposition supporters leaving them to linger in jail without charge.  


On the Eve of Supreme Court Announcement of Election Results, Opposition Asks Supporters to Be at the Ready in Case Street Protests are Called


[The French version can be found at  Below is the article translated into English by Google, with editing by Guinea Oye.]

Shortly after his return from Dakar, the leader of the Union of Democratic Forces of Guinea (UFDG) Diallo, went to Ratoma, a suburb of Conakry, on Thursday to thank its base. Taking advantage of this meeting, he also asked his supporters to stand ready in case the opposition would give instructions for street protests after the publication of the final results of the legislative by the Supreme Court of Guinea.

In the presence of allies, includingMouctar Diallo of the New Democratic Forces (NFD) and new members, including the Ratoma Elhadj Aliou Mamadou Bah, the youth leader has made it clear that Friday will be a decisive day. In his leader, he was asked to keep his speech. Young, he told them to remain “united, welded”.

In his speech, Diallo praised his supporters for both the mobilization and participation in the last elections and that, despite all the difficulties encountered. “The victory of Ratoma is not a surprise though Mr. Alpha Condé has tried everything.”

Speaking of publication of the final results of the legislative, Diallo electrifies the crowd. “I see, everyone here would like to know what would be done tomorrow,” he started the cheers.

Moreover, Diallo has asked his supporters to be ready. “I ask you to stay tuned for the party leadership, trust us. Opposition will have a meeting at noon Saturday UFDG after the announcement of final results, we will discuss the results and make a decision. Until then, stay ready and mobilized. “

Later, the leader of the UFDG warned his supporters that his party does not fight for the presidency of the National Assembly, but the President of the Republic in 2015, he insisted.

Opposition Statement: Marches Suspended, Election Issues to Go Through Courts, and Possible “Partial” Invalidation (EN-FR)

When you can bring out a crowd like this, you are in the majority. 

Guinea Oye will be back soon to provide commentary about this odd political development.

Below is a link to the French version of the Opposition Statement.  Following that is the English version translated by Google.

Législatives : l’opposition sursoit les manifestations de rues

This is the main decision that came out of the conclave of politicians gathered at the leader of the opposition Cellou Dalein Diallo. After the constant threats of the opposition occupy the streets as a protest against electoral masquerade organized by INEC for the presidential party, the opposition leaders have finally resolved to resort to legal means. Read this statement.

For the sake of appeasement and to respond favorably to requests from civil society and the different calls by the international community, the Republican opposition has decided to postpone any public event and use the remedies provided by the Election Code to enforce its requirements for transparency of the legislative elections of 28 September 2013.

The members of the opposition parties involved in this election actually introduced within the statutory period and the required forms, their appeals to the Supreme Court to demand the cancellation and alternative partial invalidation of the elections because massive fraud.

The Supreme Court has the constitutional authority to settle electoral disputes is to decide independently on the basis of the law, disputes submitted to arbitration.

The Republican opposition reminded the President and judges of the Supreme Court that the Republican institution to which they have the privilege of belonging is subject only to the authority of the law and has the obligation to avoid any influence and reject any allegiance to the executive power, not to mention the law.

The Republican opposition hopes that the Supreme Court fully appreciates the issues of peace and social cohesion of its current mission to contribute to the results of the elections are actually consistent with the will of the people of Guinea to the future parliament and is a reflection of the votes actually cast by the electors.

The Republican opposition invites its members and supporters and all Guinean citizens who love freedom and democracy to listen to it and remain highly mobilized for their rights.


Conakry, 30/10/2013

The Republican opposition

Guinea Election Update 10-25: The Next Two Weeks

Guinea Oye apologizes for being out of pocket over the last several days. Here is a short update that should give you an idea of what to expect over the next two weeks concerning the Supreme Court review of and decision on the September 28 legislative elections.  

The CENI submitted the provisional numbers from the legislative election to the Supreme Court last Sunday. Political parties wishing to challenge any aspect of the election — CENI mismanagement, omission of data, and fraud — have a five day window to make its submissions to the Supreme Court.  The window opened at midnight, Monday, October 21 and closes midnite, Monday, October 28.  By Tuesday, October 29, it is conceivable that the Supreme Court could begin deliberations.  A representative of the Court stated recently that deliberations should be complete by November 11 and their decision would follow.
Both the opposition and the RPG arc-en-ciel have declared their intentions to make such filings with the Court.  Unfortunately, some of the opposition political parties are having difficulty obtaining the detailed information required by the Court to fully substantiate their claims in their submissions.  The problem centers on the CENI which has refused, thus far, to post on its website the “minutes” from voting stations.  Prior to submitting the provisional numbers to the Supreme Court, the EU Observer Mission expressed concern to the CENI about not making the minutes publicly available. A few days ago, the EU Observation Mission issued another request to the CENI to post minutes on its website, but so far, there has been no response.  
The opposition maintains its call for annulment of the election and the Govt-CENI -RPG continues to belittle the opposition’s call.  

Guinea Govt. Election “Win” Strategy: Hand Over Vote Tally to Supreme Court to Declare Results Final, as Required by Law, and Disregard Opposition Complaints of Fraud Altogether

Yesterday, the CENI, Guinea’s electoral commission declared that “it would not consider the opposition’s accusations of electoral fraud until after a final tally of votes cast on September 28 is completed. How does a vote tally become final?  By law, only the Guinean Supreme Court can declare vote results final.
Given that the CENI is floating in a sea of vote fraud, it cannot open itself up for review of even one opposition complaint, much less the hundreds which exist.  The best way to get out of the mess is to disregard the opposition’s claims altogether and present its vote tally directly to the Supreme Court. The CENI has ten days after the election to submit its vote tallies to the Supreme Court.  A wise bettor would wager that the tally is already in the hands of the Supreme Court justices, a move that would prevent any significant legal challenge by the opposition.  Be assured that the CENI is not busy tabulating results because it determined RPG arc-en-ciel candidates’ bottom line vote counts before the election took place. If you have been following Guinean politics for a while, you know far stranger things have happened.
Stay tuned . . .

GUINEA: How Did Conde Get to 2nd Round of 2010 Election to Oppose Diallo?

Below is part of an archive of Guinea Oye posts during June-July 2010 which focus on the first round of the presidential election. 

How did Conde Get to Second Round of 2010 Pres. Election to Oppose Diallo?

When Alpha Conde returned to Guinea to run for president, he was considered an outsider, having spent 59 years in France, and because of his long absence from the country, he was not considered a front runner.  Yet, the French government was very familiar with Conde and, if he became president, it could be very helpful.  It also didn’t hurt that former French foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, was a longtime friend of Conde’s since they met in school forty years prior.

Cellou Diallo was well-known as a former Prime Minister and, rather than travelling abroad for his education, as many did, he went to school in Guinea.  Diallo was able to turn out huge crowds during his campaign for the first round of the 2010 presidential election which took place on June 27, 2010.  See video, #1, directly below of one of Diallo’s campaign rally in Conakry in late May. 

Gen. Sekouba Konate was appointed interim president of Guinea after a bullet to the head of junta leader, Dadis Camara, cleared the way.  Konate had three primary jobs:  produce a presidential election, turn the levers of the government to ensure an Alpha Conde victory, and command security services to repress the people before, during and after the election to prevent “messy” challenges.  Konate did a stellar job in all three areas for which he was well-compensated.

When Ben Sekou Sylla, president of the CENI, showed the initial first round results of the June 27 election to Sekouba Konate, it showed Diallo was first, Sidya Toure was second, Conde was third or fourth, and Kouyate was third or fourth.   Konate, partly because of a personal vendetta with Toure told Sylla to drop him from second place to third and put Conde in second place instead.  It is not clear whether Conde leap-frogged over both Toure and Kouyate, or just Toure.  As one might expect, Toure was livid as were his followers, most of whom were Soussou.   A large group of Soussou women appeared in front of Konate’s house to demonstrate against his interference in the election.  See post #8

After many filings with the CENI over election fraud, the Supreme Court announced the results of the final vote for the first round: Diallo received  44%, Alpha Conde received 18%, and Sidya Toure received 13%.  In reality, Diallo and Toure results were higher and Conde scored less than 18%.  See post #12

Louceny Camara, a CENI member and RPG loyalist “toured” voting stations in Conakry on election day and stole as many as 50,000 ballots from voting stations in strongholds of Diallo’s.  He was caught red-handed at home with most of the stolen ballots. If these ballots had been counted, Diallo would have won the presidency outright in the first round.  His percentage vote won was shrunk below 50% to prevent a first round win threw the election into a second round in which Alpha Conde was inserted as Diallo’s contender.

Further, in a way that only the international community can couch terrible things in a cheerful manner, the Carter Center noted that the number of ballots used in the Supreme Court tabulation of final results was 900,000 BALLOTS LESS than the number used for the preliminary ballot results directly after the election. Nearly 1 million ballots gone with just 5.6 million voters in the 2010 election.  See post #11


#1 VIDEO: May 16 – Presidential Candidate, Celou Dalein Diallo, Received by Massive Crowds in Conakry

May 24, 2010

#2 Doubts Emerge Over Guinean Poll Credibility

June 29, 2010

#3 Vote Count Wraps Up Amid Fraud Accusations Including Ballot Boxes Disappearing Overnight

June 29, 2010

4# Civil Society, Parties Claim Guinea Poll Irregularities

June 30, 2010

#5 CENI Technical Head, Pathe Dieng: Voting Irregularity SMS Reports Cover 50% of Polling Stations “Which is Not Enough for Us to Make Any Valid Projections”

June 30, 2010

#6 Electoral Code Requires CENI to Deliver Preliminary Results by 6PM Today as Charges of Fraud Grow

June 30, 2010

#7 Reuters: Preliminary Results of June 27 Election

July 2, 2010

#8 Guinea Election Goes to Second Round with Diallo and Conde

July 2, 2010

#9 Guinea’s Electoral Commission Reports Vote Percentages for Top Candidates

July 2, 2010

#10 Conde and Toure Appealing Election Results – Complaints Must be Filed with Guinea Supreme Court within 8 Days of Announcement of Vote Count

July 4, 2010
#11 GUINEA: Carter Center Concerned that Supreme Court Tally of Votes is 900,000 Less than Provisional Results — “A De Facto Disenfranchisement” of Nearly One-Third of Electorate
July 26, 2010
July 20, 2010

#12 Guinea Supreme Court Finds that Cellou Dalein Diallo and Alpha Conde Will Proceed to the Run-Off Election

July 20, 2010

GUINEA ELECTION UPDATE: Konate Hospitalized in Morocco, Lounceny Camara Up to Old Tricks, and Thursday is Deadline for Supreme Court Election Decision


Guinea Election Update:

General Konate,who left for a medical visit for Rabat, Morocco last week, is reported to be critically ill.  Konate has been suffering from cirrhosis of the liver and has gone out of the country frequently for treatement.  Various reports from Guinean webesites state that he is in a coma and has undergone an operation.  He was supposed to have returned to Conakry today, but that will not be happening.

Lounceny Camara, not content with committing massive fraud in the first and second rounds of the presidential election, is trying to manipulate the Guinean Supreme Court  concerning its final decision on the election.   Mr. Camara has been making quite a pest of himself by repeatedly trying to access members of the Court via its spokesman, Robert Guilao.  So far, no luck.  In addition, none other than PM Jean-Marie Dore is reported to have tried on numerous occasions to arrange a meeting  with the President of the Supreme Court, but the judge isn’t returning his calls.

Thursday, December 2nd, is the deadline for the Supreme Court to render its decision regarding the second round of the election.  Between now and then, you might want to keep an eye on seemingly unrelated events unfolding and see if they relate any better by the end of the week:  Konate’s absence due to health problems, border closings, large numbers of Guineans leaving Conakry for other parts of the country for fear of violence in the wake of the Supreme Court announcment, and demotion of a high military officer by Konate, presumably from his sickbed in Morocco.